Biden-Ryan Debate Tonight

Prediction time: Media consensus is that Biden wins in a landslide.

Reasoning: In DC media world, Paul Ryan is basically Steven Hawking only smarter and more handsome, where as Joe Biden is a bumbling buffoon who struggles to get through his day without maiming himself. But the thing is, underneath that cartoonish exterior, Joe Biden is really, really smart. He is also a good politician. Of course he makes gaffes, and says things that he shouldn't, but he has literally nothing to do but prepare for this debate. It will end well.

Paul Ryan on the other hand, is one of the biggest frauds in human history. As Krugman said about Newt Gingrich, he's a dumb person's idea of what a smart person sounds like. That works in the right wing crazy bubble where he was conceived, but has often flopped elsewhere. Unlike most Republicans, he isn't rabidly hostile towards the beltway media, so they end up liking him and giving him space to air endless lies, only sometimes correcting them without ever noting that he lies with the frequency that most people breathe (see Klein, Ezra). A creation of the right wing insanity bubble, he has repeatedly flailed when he does media with a host who isn't a conservative or a liberal who is so happy he's found a conservative capable or forming a sentence longer than "god hates fags". His convention speech was so filled with easily correctable lies that you could see DC journalist types weeping on air like jilted lovers when being forced to point out that his speech had been mostly made up.

So with the beltway media's expectations sky high for Ryan and somewhere between an adult dog and Dan Quail for Biden, I think they will go crazy when Big Fucking Deal is speaking in gaffe-free complete sentences and declare him the winner.

Just my prediction, I could be wrong, it's happened quite a few times before.

Also, the village media loves a horse race, so a Biden win would help that.

Any thoughts?