Wednesday, March 5, 2008

Don't call it a comeback

I've been here for years, rocking my peers and puttin' suckas in fear...

What were we talking about? Oh yeah, the election.
So memo to the media: Don't call it a comeback, cause this ain't one. Not even close. Just put aside your lust for an endless race, and the Clinton camp's accusations of bias (Brilliantly referred to as "working the refs" on kos yesterday) and look it the numbers.

Pyhrric victories DON'T MATTER.
There are 10 states left.
She needed enormous wins yesterday to make this competitive.
She didn't get them.

Barring a meltdown of Nick Anderson proportions, Obama is going to win the popular vote, and in total pledged delegates. That was the game. She lost. That being said, there are two ways this can end:

1) She can play out the string and continue to run, hoping for the Nick Anderson or some other drastic turn. When the results are in for these next 10 states, and she has lost both the popular vote and delegate count, she acknowledges that she has lost a fucked up, but still mostly democratic process, endorses Obama as the nominee and goes back to the senate to insure that someone is taking on the important issues like flag burning and starting a war with Iran.

2) She keeps running, but starts pushing attacks to see as far as they can go, and really tries to drag him in the mud. She'll attack him with things that would clearly be used by McCain in the general, like claiming that only she and John McCain have the experience to be president. And after thoroughly smearing him for several months, she still won't have enough pledged delegates or a popular vote lead. What will she do then? Well she'll cheat of course, and try to get the super delegates to go against the will of democratic voters. This is extremely unlikely to work, but its worth pointing out that if she were successful it would probably destroy the democratic party for the next 5-10 years. And it's also worth pointing out that anyone willing to win by destroying our own party probably didn't have our best interests at heart in the first place.

She has her choice, but I've got a funny idea I know where this is headed.


  1. Interesting stuff, J. I'm glad you pulled out the LL Cool J and the Nick Anderson references in the same post. Game 1 of the '95 Finals was one of the better basketball games I've seen in my lifetime, and I've seen quite a few of them. If Anderson makes those free throws, not only does his career stay afloat, but the series is entirely different. I'll never see another player single-handedly destroy his career AND his team's championship hopes in 10 seconds. They might be the most dubious free throws in NBA history.
    And you're right about Hillary, it will be interesting to see how it plays out.

  2. Couldn't agree more about Nick Anderson. I remember that game too, and his career is really one of those insane things you never know if we'll see again. It alters the course of those finals, arguable alters the course of the east for the next 6-7 years. Maybe that magic team starts its own dynasty while jordan is on hiatus. Maybe Shaq doesn't leave, and penny doesn't start sucking, and Nick Anderson becomes the perennial all star he was destined to be until those foul shots. Instead of bulls knicks each year maybe it's bulls-magic. Also in terms of how much that series destroyed Nick Anderson's mind, not only did all his stats drop next year... but his FT % went from mid 70s to 40%!!! Unreal.